Case file · Declassified summary
Pre-empted convoy ambush along an active narco corridor.
ARGO NG ingested HUMINT and OSINT signals across a 72-hour window. TAM-C analysts re-routed the principal's convoy with 4-hour lead time.
- Client
- Sector
- Energy
- Region
- Latin America
- Duration
- 72 hours
- Status
- Closed
The situation
Conditions at day zero
A client executive's overland convoy was scheduled to traverse a corridor with a recent uptick in cartel-on-cartel violence. Existing local security advisories were stale and downplayed the threat. The client was 72 hours from movement.
- 01Local advisories were weeks old and rated the corridor as routine.
- 02Movement window fixed by operational commitments on site.
- 03No live source coverage on the route before TAM-C engaged.
Corridor threat level
Before
5/5
Critical
After
2/5
Guarded
Original route scored Critical once signals were fused. The alternate route held at Guarded.
How it unfolded
6 entries · 72 hours
- T-72h
Engagement opens
ActionClient requests coverage for a planned overland movement through the corridor.
- T-66h
First HUMINT signal
SignalA vetted local source reports armed spotters at two checkpoints on the planned route.
- T-66h +11m
Corridor escalated to P1
SignalARGO NG fuses the report with Spanish-language OSINT. Threat, urgency and proximity scoring cross the P1 line.
- T-40h
FIO joins the EP detail
ActionA field intelligence officer aligns route options, rally points and comms with the client's protection team.
- T-4h
Convoy re-routed
ActionWith signals still rising, the movement shifts to the alternate route with four hours of lead time.
- T+36h
Ambush confirmed
OutcomeLocal authorities confirm an ambush on the original route. No client personnel or assets were present.
The data
Corridor threat score across the 72-hour window
What TAM-C did
Approach
Fuse every signal
HUMINT from vetted local sources, OSINT from Spanish-language channels and reporting on convoy spotters, scored in one picture.
Escalate on evidence
Threat, urgency and proximity scoring moved the corridor to P1 within 11 minutes of the first signal.
Put an officer in the loop
A field intelligence officer worked alongside the EP detail so intelligence turned directly into route decisions.
Decide with lead time
The re-route call came four hours before movement, early enough to brief drivers and secure the alternate route.
The outcome
Closed
The convoy was re-routed with 4 hours of operational lead time. A subsequent ambush was confirmed by local authorities at the original route within 36 hours of the planned movement. No personnel, asset, or principal exposure.
| Measure | Before | After |
|---|---|---|
| Corridor rating | Routine (local advisory) | ▲Critical, P1 |
| Source coverage | None on route | ▲HUMINT + OSINT, live |
| Decision lead time | Unplanned | ▲4 hours |
| Exposure | Full convoy on route | ▲Zero |